thread: How accurate are dating scans at predicting Due Date?

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  1. #1
    Registered User

    Aug 2006
    Sydney
    111

    How accurate are dating scans at predicting Due Date?

    Just curious to hear people's experiences as to how accurate the EDD you were given at your scans have been....
    I had a dating scan at 6w5D which said my bub would arrive ON it's due date (1/1/2010)... What are the chances of this? I hear the earlier the scan, the more accurate it is but I want real life examples please!

    I can't remember what my dating scan said with DD, who arrived at 38 weeks.

    Thanks Lovelies!

  2. #2

    Mar 2004
    Sparta
    12,662

    I think that when it comes to dates you need to keep in mind that it is an *estimated* due date. Your baby is just as likely to arrive 10 days before or 10 days after its EDD.
    Full term is usually anywhere between 38 and 42 weeks.
    The good news is that all babies are born on their birthday

    Both the dating scans for my boys were out by a week.

  3. #3
    2013 BellyBelly RAK Recipient.

    Apr 2009
    3,750

    Even early scans aren't always accurate. I think this is more because not every woman has a 40week pregnancy. For some women there baby is just as baked at 37weeks as someone who is 42weeks pregnant. Without inductions may women would even go 43-44weeks pregnant. With my last DD my early scan at 7weeks gave me a EDD of 15th May. She arrived spontaneously 19/4 at 36+3 looking not the slightest bit early (no vernix, fat etc) and weighing 8lbs. I would offer early scans especially when you don't know your dates but when looking at baby's actual birth date to the early scan there is often weeks difference. I think they come when they come some earlier some later.

  4. #4
    Registered User

    Oct 2008
    brisbane australia
    840

    between 4 and 10 weeks the accuracy is only a day or two out at most after about 12 weeks it can be out by up to a week. I was told this by my sonographer 2 weeks ago coz my bub was measuring a week and a half ahead of schedule

  5. #5
    Registered User

    Apr 2008
    Melbourne
    6,745

    The scans really assess the conception date rather than the arrival date as the baby can be born either side of the "due date" as others have said.

    I know when both of my girls were conceived and worked out the "due date" from there - the scans showed a "due date" only one day out from our dates so they were pretty much spot on for working out conception dates.

    DD1 was "due" on Feb 26th but arrived 15 days earlier on Feb 11th. DD2 was "due" Feb 22nd and arrived on the 19th.

  6. #6
    BellyBelly Member

    Jun 2005
    Sydney
    2,121

    It really is hit and miss...its just an estimate as others have said....ive been 'prepared' since about 37 weeks....and here i am, 40 weeks today and no sign of baby.....dont take it as gospel, bubs could come 10-14 days after your EDD......thats all it is...is a estimated due date...

    Good luck !!!

  7. #7
    BellyBelly Life Subscriber & MPM

    Feb 2007
    Melbourne
    5,462

    My dating scan with this bub at 8 weeks was really inaccurate, it gave me an EDD of 28/8/09 when by my dates I should have been due around 22/8/09. Looking at the scan and where the sonographer took the measurements you can see he didn't include the baby's head in the measurements . My 12 weeks u/s gave me an EDD of the 21/8/09 and my 20 week u/s gave me an EDD of 20/8/09, so my later scans seem much more accurate.

    I think I just got a dodgy sonographer the first time around LOL!

  8. #8
    Registered User

    Jun 2006
    Where the sun shines brightly!
    906

    Mmm... I didn't bother with the early dating scan, as I knew exactly when I ovulated, and the doc told me that this was a more accurate way to determine the *Estimated* Due Date than the scan. Plus I found that having a particular date stuck in my head for my first birth to be a negative thing - everyone placed so much emphasis on THE date, even highlighting it in their calendar etc, etc.
    I ended up going into labour at 38 weeks (2 weeks before EDD) and learnt quickly that the baby has little regard for estimated dates or external hospital agendas.
    In the end - only the baby can determine the true due date, and it is not they that get it wrong, but the system. I read somewhere that only 5% of babies come on their actual due date!!
    When people ask me the due date of this pregnancy, I tell them "The baby is due when it comes..." "Only time will tell...." etc etc. If less emphasis was paid to EDD's, we would not have such high intervention rates - artificial inductions for no valid reason other than being past the EDD, distressed babies as a result, emergency c/sections etc.

    Anyways, thats the end of my spiel. At the end of the day - EDD is just a guide. I think being fully prepared for labour from 36 weeks is advisable just to be on the safe side.

    Wishing you a good labour and birth!!

    XX

  9. #9
    Registered User

    Jun 2007
    Brisbane
    1,621

    First and foremostely, I agree that an EDD is definitely an estimate and nobody - particularly medical experts - should get toooo hung up on the date.

    With DS, my earliest scan was around 5w4d (from memory anyway, it was before 6w whatever the case), and they gave his EDD as 19 March 08. My next scan at 12w3d gave the 16 March 08 as his EDD. My Ob always went by the first scan. But guess which day DS was born ... 16 March 08.

    Andie