Aah good question. I had that convo with my obs a fortnight ago (once I was on insulin. He was flagging induction at 38.5 weeks for me. I teased him and said you let me go to 39 last time. We both agreed that induction increases the risk of instrumentation (which I need to avoid at all costs) but he said the risk of birthing a bigger baby post 40 weeks (plus placenta maturation risk) is the flip side of the coin. In my case there are also some additional reasons (vaginal prolapse and pelvic floor nerve damage) for wanting a smaller bub... so his logic is second bub, could be bigger + insulin, so I think he'll never want to let me past 40 weeks at the absolute most. Plus he's optomistic that having laboured before I've got a better chance of either a) earlier labour on my own and b) much less induction activity (so to speak!) - if I could get started prior or with just gels/water breaking that would be much better than the drip. Further to that, we're also waiting on a placenta check (marginal placenta praevia) in a few week's time, plus I think HOW much insulin might influence as well (I'm tracking to be on more than last time)... so there's a few variables yet to be fully considered. FYI X's birth was induced at 38+6 (sitting around with gels for a few days) then he was born at 39+1, 3.4kg (7lb 7oz) and his APGAR's were great, no trouble breathing and his BSL's were ok (but on the low end). If we get around that size/gestation I'm not against it... but obviously am hoping for a instrumentation-free vag birth!
Incidentally I also talked to my endo about this, and he did seem less pro-induction, but agreed loosely with the 40 week thing... I got the impression that he didn't think placenta maturation was nearly such a big issue. So saying, he made the caveat that he's not an obs so doesn't have all the other elements in consideration - he's purely thinking about the insulin/placenta component.
Your hossie/obs sounds to have a very similiar perspective. Are you going to be trying all the natural induction methods? I did most, but not all last time. I'll be trying ALL (assuming that placenta moves) this time.






Also have to have another scan to check bubs size, but fundal measurement wise I am measuring 38 weeks ATM.

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