Hi there,
Ovulation is a more accurate method for determining your estimated your due date than ultrasound scans - that is, 38 weeks from ovulation. This is also more accurate than counting 40 weeks from the first day of your last menstrual period as many women with irregular cycles do not have 14 days (2 weeks) between start of LMP and ovulation.
Unfortunately if you are unsure of when ovulation occured then the scans will be your next best predictor - but keep in mind that statistically, only 5% of babies come on their due date! Do you having a feeling or a sense for when you may have conceived/ovulated? This again may be more accurate than your scans which, yes - tend to vary at each subsequent appointment. But keep in mind that all methods provide an estimate only!
To be honest - many women on here will tell you its actually a good thing if they are predicting your gestation to be less advanced than it is - as this equates to a later EDD, and subsequently less pressure on you to induce due to being 'post dates'. Remember that the normal range for pregnancy is between 38 - 42 weeks, and there is no need to consider induction without a serious medical reason to do so until such a date has been passed. Having a 'big baby' is also not a valid reason to consider induction - tiny women give birth to 10 pounders every day - the female body is perfectly equipped to do this!!
So if you know that you are eating well and the scans reveal that your baby is fine - then ignore the negative comments - you need to surround yourself with only positive energy right now!!
At the end of the day, no matter how many methods of predicting your due date you are able to utilise, your body will go into labour when your baby is ready to be born, and that 5% accuracy rate should tell you that babies have little regard for arbitrary timetables set by medical staff and scanning machines!! They know better!!
My best advice is to honestly forget about the estimated due date. As long as you are prepared for labour with your hospital bag ready to go - there really is nothing more you CAN do.
Just try to relax and wait for the magic to happen - babies take their cue from Mother Nature and they like to surprise us anyway!
Best of luck.....
XX


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So yes, USS can get it wrong. 
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