Unfortunately, this is not a science and no-one can give you a guarantee. I'm weighing up my options right now but will probably have an elective caesarean.
With DD the pain started at 28 weeks. Everyone told me it would go away after the birth. I wasn't careful, was in a lot of pain, was still standing to cook dinner every night for half an hour and worked up to 38 weeks. This was completely nuts but I thought it was just one of those things that I had to put up with. I saw a physio who advised a belt and icing, neither of which I was good at doing.
I had a vaginal birth with an epidural. The pushing phase lasted almost three hours with me instructed to hold my knees against my shoulders for that entire time.
I think that's the primary reason why it took 18 months to recover.
Yes, EIGHTEEN FRICKEN MONTHS.
So when obs/physios now tell me that the recovery is longer with a caesar, I tell them I don't know anyone who has taken eighteen months to recover from a caesar.





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